Exam 2 Study Guide

Chapter 10

• Identify instances of the following fallacies:
  • Ad Hominem
    • Abusive
    • Poisoning the Well
    • Circumstantial
  • Strawman
  • Appeal to Ignorance
• Understand burden of proof
• Legal standard of proof

Chapter 11

• Identify instances of the following fallacies:
  • Either/Or (False Disjunction)
  • Drawing the Line
  • Begging the Question
• Understand vagueness and ambiguity

Chapter 13

• Know how to calculate the probabilities of
  • Simple events
  • Certain events
  • Impossible events
  • Independent conjunctions
  • Incompatible disjunctions
  • Compatible disjunctions
  • Negations

Chapter 14

• Know how to calculate the probabilities of
  • Dependent conjunctions
  • Conditional probabilities using Bayes' Theorem
• Know how to convert odds and probabilities
• Know how to determine a fair wager

Chapter 15

• Statistics
• Good samples
• Mean, mode, median, parameter statistic, variables, measuring dispersal
• Correlation vs. causation

Chapter 16

• Calculating Expected Value
• The Gambler's Fallacy
• The Conjunction Fallacy
• Regression to the Mean